I would first like to say, I am NO donk or fish when it comes to poker. I have been playing professional poker for 15 years now, played with every well known name and played all stakes from mid level to the highest games.
I have even won tens of thousands of dollars on this site as well, however, what I have to say has serious merit and i would like feedback as well as hopefully the programmers of this site to seriously read my post.
I understand the deviation theory and statistical probability of what wins and loses and how you will encounter swings no matter how well you play.
however, over the last few weeks, I myself went on a 4,000 dollar loss that yes took about 15 different tables to occur as I dropped limits to hopefully reduce the losses til it turned around.
I have had my days where it went well and then it gets cold, however, i did a study not only my horrible streak this week but i analyzed hands on all tables i played and even games i viewed.
92% of hands that were favorites LOST to the underdog hands.
70% of hands that were favorites on turn lost to extremely low probability river catches. These are not suckouts as they do happen, part of poker but over 70% of the hands I was involved with PLUS hands i perviewed and wrote down caught.
Final stat which is the most scary, when it was pair versus pair, over 80% of the smaller pair won.
These stats are not made up just to prove a point but I am damn sure software can be programmed especially when it comes to gambling where they can ensure certain probabilities to win.
I am not paranoid at this as I play in all the big games at bellagio, commerce casino and do experiences my swings as well there but not even close to the extremes on this site.
I play hundreds of hours here a month as i quality for the iron man free roll every month and have cashed out more money than probably 90% of the players here so for me to write this should be taken serious and looked at.
This post was not written out of disgust for a bad week, we all have those but it was the first time i actually wrote down hand after hand quickly as i was playing them as well and gathered stats and this was all info i thought of over the last year here but to see it on paper opened my eyes that this software is flawed in how the turn card and river cards are produced.
I have read posts about how it is even more randomized than decks in casino's but i have the HARDEST time believing that as i have never in 15 years of playing poker for a living seen such under dog hands win hand after hand after hand at the level of 92% underdog.
It would be interesting to see feedback from other players not to hear your feedback but more importantly, for the programmers off this site to seriously look into their data and possibly see if their was any flaw in the programming of their outcome producing software.
I am not saying that the best hand should always win, hell I have even won a 2 outer here and there but when it gets to the point of over 90% of hands over the stretch of a few weeks and I am not referring just to hands i was involved with. I took these notes on several tables at once just to see if i was being overly paranoid or just on tilt and i was not wrong.
I prefer playing online poker as it is faster and i have more game selection but with the shutdown of other sites and yes full tilt is my favorite site, i am now starting to wonder of my committment here as why continually play poker at a site where you almost know no matter how great you play, how smart your choices are, your statistically most likely going to get oudrawn, not smart business anymore.
good day
Go ahead and deflate this Pros and know it alls.
Stats can be compiled on any number of hands BUT
FT and any other poker site is not real world poker so
your online stats will never be useful in the REAL WORLD.
Any attempt to dispel the FIXING of a poker hand online I have read here so far uses REAL WORLD statistics analysis to describe the virtual world of online poker and then the POKER PRO asks for the picture of the UFO to disprove their FALSE assumption that "there is no FIXING of online poker flops".
1st Fact: The poker deck in real world is shuffled and
that is the end of the randomness of cards "GENERATED"
The deck for all intents and purpose is LOCKED with this arrangement.
Whatever the initial randomness that was generated at that point STOPS or is fixed after the shuffle was completed.
Online poker "GENERATES" a CALCULATED WEIGHTED card per flip from a NON FIXED deck of UNUSED cards AFTER THE SHUFFLE IS COMPLETED >> Go ahead and dispute this fact hard headed buttheads and explain to all here how RANDOM this is.
2nd Fact: The poker deck in the real world after the flop
uses a burn and turn flip from the FIXED deck at that point
which introduces a variable of further uncertainty to reduce consecutiveness of alike systems.
Online poker ''GENERATES'' another CALCULATED WEIGHTED card per flip
from a NON FIXED deck of UNUSED cards
So anyone who wishes to STATE with statistical uncertainty that
online poker cards dealt in ONE HAND is truly a RANDOM incident is basing there implied "prove me wrong with PROOF OF NON RANDOMNESS" on a false theory of fact.
WHY YOU ASK or YOU SIR ARE FULL OF BS may be your know it
all REPLY AGAIN.
HERE IS why you UFO disbelievers:
The use of an algorithm [RNG technology] implies in itself a CALCULATION with defined parameters. An algorithm is used to 'RANDOMLY' generate the cards on any poker site. The WORD Random is used LOOSELY here since an ALGORITHM is TRULY NOT RANDOM but based on WELL DEFINED PARAMETERS.
A calculation IS NOT BASED ON RANDOMNESS but RANDOMNESS CAN BE CALCULATED.
Go ahead and shout me down POKER PROS. All done with no hand waving magical wand JUST MATHEMATICS and COMMON SENSE.
I have only read the first 12 replies so forgive if already stated.
I'm a software development engineer writing computer software for the past 12 years and I can assure you randomizers aren't realy random.
Thats due to the fact that any ranomizer has to be "seeded" with an intitial integer which usually is taken form the pc's or the servers current time value. Thus the "seed" can be the same many times,...but only VERY RARELY many time in a row.
They are as random as they possibly could be to pass a validation check with the authorities before the software is allowed to be released online.
californiachamp,.. you are correct in your data collection and it is true that online poker has a much higher percentage for the underdog to win than in real life poker.
But thats not because the software is broken or "cheating" algorithms have been included (unless proven otherwise - as sites have been closed down in the past for "cheating" with algorithms).
It is inheritly natural for software that uses random values to be repetative,.. nothing one can do about it,..that why you just have to live with the stats and play poker in a real casino for actual value. Only play online for entertainment.
Anyway, to let you know, to post your "concerns" here just causes a lot of "lost children of the world" to reply with absolute useless crap.
This might be my first post in this forum,...as I usually don't bother asking the "forum pro's" with a mental age of 5 for help, but I can surely agree to your comments about the so called forum pros.
All you get is cheap childish schoolyard crap,..not worth my or your effort in trying to be serious.
If you have a concern, just contact Full Tilt by email directly.
As I just have to believe that Full Tilt employes are adults and don't give you some childish slag.
And "forum pro" kids,..don't bother replying with some insulting, imature querk about being a retard or some other "well educated" response as frankly I couldn't be arzed replying to you.
There you go "Forum pros", you can have the last word to make you feel good. 8)
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Exactly,... right over your foil beanie.
TRNG's are hardware related....RNG's are software related.
FT uses a combo of both as best they can BUT the clock speeds
the play because TRNG would take TOOOOOOOO long.
If they [FT] don't admit this... so be it. IT is mathematical fact whether
you can comprehend it is what is truly random.
Let's see,,, poker pros and forum pros say TRNG is the key to no FLAWS at FT.
What could be the flaw in that argument you say?
Well,, if it were widely disputed that poker software at FT or any site
were flawed to a point that predictability resulted, people would quit playing there if they could get the predictable card sequences.
FT has it's software tested. Nobody disputes this.
The question is what are the ACCEPTABLE limits of failure or flaw.
Is it the same as a DIEBOLD voting machine or is it comparable to a
NASA space shuttle checklist?
Most people BLOW their money in Vegas knowing full well the odds
in most games favor the House. All machines in Vegas have to meet
tests of tolerances and failure rates. Do people pay off others to rig the machines. You bet they do.
Loosest SLOTS in VEGAS ring a bell Or THEIR SLOTS are TIGHT.
Does it stop people from gambling?
NOPE. They play within the flaws of the system HOPING they win and
yet wallk away with entertainment value minus their money.
FT, it is the perfect paradise. Flawless poker all the time. I'll remember that each and everytime I see the J J A, or 8 8 K, or club, club, club flops come along redundantly.
Congrats, the nirvana of poker is FT.
QUOTE from IABoomer
I'm done arguing with you. You have no proof of your theory. You're condescending and insulting. If Perry Friedman and Chris Ferguson posted the actual code here, you'd claim that they showed you a non-rigged code sample to silence you, but still run the "official" rigged code on the servers. No matter how much evidence is presented, you'll stubbornly hold on to your misguided thoughts, so responding to you is an exercise in futility.
I bid you good day and hope that you haven't passed on your flawed genes to offspring. End of IABoomer rant uhh quote
------------
Funny, once presented with his own reference that actually
proves that TRNG has flaws and is predictable, IABoomer, and
the poker pros, who have been calling people crackpots, UFO theorists
and overall bad beat whiners for days,.....get disproved and shown the errors of their ways including using the RTNG reference of IABoomer related to Wikipedia and random number generators. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TRNG,
the poker pros and IABoomer
cry foul and whine to stop the disrespect AFTER they use the disrespect toward those that choose to disagree.
Now the poker pros and IABoomer have been logically shown by at least one of their own sources of reference that
TRNG does have inherent flaws....hence a clock to limit some of the
predictability but PATTERNS DO HAPPEN AND EXIST AT FT.
Ever see the run of J's or K's or whatever the card is for the night
or the run of diamonds or clubs on a particular session of poker in a
tourney? Sure you have or you are hiding under your momma's skirt
by denying it. You play within the limits of the software and EXPECT
that situation [FLAW] to be a possibility.
Yawn!
Some sites in the online gaming market attempt to provide RNG by starting with a 32 bit seed for a PRNG> unfortunately this method provides only a very small set of outcomes in comparision to the randomness required for truky random shuffled decks of cards.
Because of this they, they tend to use shuffle algorithms that attemt to work around the quality limitations of the prng they are useing.
Sites that shuffle cards utilizing a PRNG with a 32 bit seed, will only be able to produce 4,294,96296 possible shuffles, or merely 0.0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000005% ( or 5x10-57%) of the possible ways to shuffle a deck.
More importantly, however, the combo use of a prng and relatively small seeds ( or even larger seeds that are not suffceintly random) and faulty shuffling algorithms can allow a determined person to predict the order of the remaining cards in a deck after seeing the first several cards that are dealt.
In my view the best approach would be to forgo the prng in favor of a truer random number generation from proven random physical devices----such as a -thermal noise on a zender diode--shielded to prevent any enviromental interference. With the use of true random generator and proper algorithms it would be possible for every poissible shuffle combo to be as equqlly likely to occour as any other. All 8.06581751709439x1067
of them--OR--80,658,175,170,943,900,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. So what i would love to find out is just what is fulltilt using to generate the cards ?? i cant find anything onthe site yet that describes thier random gen like other sites do. Wonder why that is? just me not finding it after clicking every button on this site i could in help and etc etc. That would go long way to explian some of what to me can only be described as BIZZZARRRO---lmaof--no flaws? not rigged? perhaps not rigged in the sense of fraud--but PAH___LEEEAAASSSEE dont tell me that its the same as if a human hands shuffle the cards. There is a marked diff between b&m cards and online . Of course if only one or two peeps question the rigged thingy maybe it could be passed off that they havent played enough. BUT it is admitted that many many post this stuff--I hear it in chat all the time--So i ask WHY? Everyone of them are being treated as idiots or liars or to spend the rest of thier lives collecting data to prove what common sense should tell you> give us a break those who think theres a flaw at best in the rng ok? My father has played poker for 70 years--Has won many tourneys at mohegan sun--before they got rid of the poker rooms--i asked him for poker advice once--he told me--Son the most important thing u have to look out for are cheaters--and the way to know is not to watch them--but watch the cards--if too many times the cards seem to go off expected norms--look out. In stud poker the oldest saying in poker land is if you start with the best hand u end with the best hand the MAJORITY of times --if u dont then some thing is wrong. PERIOD!
NO WAY!...there is actually someone here that will admit how ridiculous the software here is!!! My mistake in trying to convey this was to use the word FT is FRAUD in my titled blog. You have described exactly what Ive been seeing ever since I started playing here about 2+ years ago. Not long after, I quit depositing money anymore and I only play in FREEROLLS. In the blog I started I mentioned some of the things you mention here and I got attacked and called all kinds of names, but after reading yours I am comforted in knowing I wasn't imagining it.
Have you noticed how many quads and straight flushes the site also produces? The thing about going heads up with pocket pairs and the lower pair wins 80% of the time is more like 90% when I have the higher pair. Read my most recent posts in "FT is Fraud...it's in the feedback area like yours...checkout all the badbeats and how they were beat that i posted.
Unlike most, I think the software is NOT flawed, but made this way to create DRAMA. If you start jotting more down, you'll see that practically EVERY hand has way too much DRAMA and FT does this by programming the software to create this with the cards not yet dealt...I mean seriously, how hard could it be for the server to track the cards left after dealing 20+ cards and using the cards that are left to make the crazy badbeats/suckouts!...oh, and what is it with SLOW playing to trap at FT? Software does NOT allow for it. I have almost NEVER won a hand if I slow played it and trapped, no matter what mine or the other players cards are. ALMOST NEVER! Reason I say almost is it's been so long since I remember winning a slow play trap. I'm talking sets, boats and even once lost with quads cause I slow played them (LIKE YOUR SUPPOSED TO!!!!)
Almost forgot. Have you ever noticed how often the case card comes on the flop? Even more so on the river? Oh, and howbout the A vs A and the lower kickered A wins with the same 80%+ of the time?
quite funny that I took a break for a few days of not reading the replies just gave me a headache but finally saw a person who saw and agreed with what i was describing.
why attack my #S? why attack how well i do? was that the point of my very valid question?
it isnt cause all of a sudden i ran bad..........i have ran back as well in casino's and it wasnt because all of a sudden i went on a cold streak for a few weeks i question their software randomizer.
in fact in the last week, i have won over 2,500 big deal to me , i still LOVE this site and won't play on any other site.....
BUT if whoever programmed the randomizer and how hands are computed was not poker experts but just computer programmers, then maybe just MAYBE there is a flaw in how the cards are computed, that was the point of my question.
it is very true that i have never in my life seen sooooooo many flushes on the river or heck for that matter the majority of each hand.
flushes happen of course but if there was a serious study of hundreds of thousands of hands, there are more flushes produced on this site than anywhere in the world, casino's (real life) or the internet.
anyway, this post obviously ran its course but i guess all i got was poker newbies and idiots trying to discount my valid point when what i had to ask had some merit and was trying to open up a discussion, not to have a bunch of small stake or railbirds question WHO I AM but instead question the randomizer and possibly is it truly correct?
oh well, back to the tables
I have played on this site for about a year. I play some small money games and tourneys. Here is what I have noticed.
Flushes do hit often
Straights hit more often then flushes
Other then that it has been pretty normal poker play, UNTIL
Just recently I have been hitting the Poker after Dark freerolls.
I have never in my life seen so many full houses and quads made.
The underdog does win post flop more then 75% of the time.
Not to say the underdog doesnt have a decent chance of winning on a showdown with a flush draw straight draw or a smaller pair or two pair.
My theory is that they promote bad play to keep good players from getting into these tourneys for cheap. They want you to play money games, period.
As far as a generator goes, I know that anything is possible with a computer. You can get it to do anything you want, so dont play down the conspiracy theories, or the fact that you CAN duplicate live play on a computer. IT can be done. It all has to do with the shuffle of the deck after the cards have been played and how they end up in the deck.
The cards should be set once the cards have been shuffled. It is then up to the play of the players as to who should win. It should not be what the computer decides to throw out after the bets have been made.
This is how it works in real cards. The cards are not RANDOM. They are set once they have been shuffled and/ or cut.
And yes you can get the computer to throw the underdog the bone a certain percentage of the time.
The biggest thing i hate about puter poker is the fact I cant read your face or pick up on your tells.
The only thing a computer generated poker game can teach you is good hand choice and betting against certain types of players ,if you are beyond that, it can only teach you bad habits.
I have caught myself doing things I shouldnt after playing on the computer.
Hope this helps some
/ IABoomer
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Buddy go wikipedia yourself and look up while you are at it what exactly an algorithm is
THEN REPORT YOUR disorganized [Rantings] uhh I mean FINDINGS here.
You dispel that the deck online IS CONTINUALLY SHUFFLED and OVERLOOK that the CALCULATION is a WEIGHTED calculation BASED ON A PREDETERMINED SET OF PARAMETERS.
If it were truly random as you wish to infer, LET THE CARDS FALL AS THEY MAY WITHOUT A CALCULATED " WEIGHTED PER FLIP " ALGORITHM.
Let's not forget that any casino online or brick and mortar has a HOUSE advantage to where ODDS of the gaming lean toward the the HOUSE.
You probably think based on your upholding of a poker site algorithm as NOT BEING SKEWED TOWARD THE HOUSE that YOU ARE THE FAVORITE and not the casino or poker site.
Keep skipping down that yellow brick road and say hi to the wonderful and powerful Oz for us. Will Ya? Go ahead and now represent that casinos online or brick and mortar are not in the BUSINESS of making money because common sense AND history of any casino will show the ODDS STACKED TO THE HOUSE. GO ahead and attempt another crack at your elementary mathematical explanation.
CHANGING THE SHUFFLE AFTER THE FLOP and CALCULATING a WEIGHTING based on the known cards [yes the computer does KNOW all of the cards in play in the hands and on the board] IS VERY different than REAL WORLD POKER oh mathematical dyslexic wonder of the poker universe.
In the virtual world, cards are NOT RANDOM but calculated and weighted cards based on the remaining cards of the 52 TOTAL cards. It DOES not take years as YOU IMPLY to calculate the next card out of 52 - 20 - 3 = 29 CARD FLOP if 10 people get 2 hole cards. GO cut and paste the 52-20-3 in google to get the answer will YA? Google can handle it real time and calculate it divided by PI for you as well quite easily. The algorithm does serve a purpose bud and it does it quite quickly as well.
Just so that I am clear for the pit bull on his numbers, the google calc was just a remedial exercise for him to perform. Online algorithm calculations have been performed way before the commercial internet existed and quite speedily at that. I am not going to give this to you IABoomer. I would have to start charging for your education if I go any further. Do your own research and dispute me. I can handle your flailing attempt at insulting me as some crackpot UFO theorist. By the way if you have this "simple" FT algorithm calculation as you infer that FT has, please SHOW it here to us all otherwise you are representing a ghost.
When is the last time someone shuffled the deck after the flop during YOUR LIVE GAME? Then proceeded onto to flipping a turn and river card with shuffles in between. Tell us all please. All the while in YOUR LIVE GAME, after a certain number of hands fold, a calculation is performed and a weighting applied based on the number of cards still active [board and active hands] being used to calculate the next card so as to affect the odds of the remaing playes with active cards? Hey don't forget that the ODDS are not LEANING toward the house in this scenario ARE THEY?
I can live with this style of play. All it means to me is play for fun but don't throw my money away because whether you believe it or not YOUR SKILL IS MINIMIZED IN THIS SETTING AND IT IS GAMBLING beyond
what you would do in the real world where you visibly see the cards and people playing, which is an integral part of poker.
Keep skipping along that yellow brick road in the Virtual World. SOME of us, as is our choice, ARE NOT BUYING YOUR CLAIM. Most of us who are not mathematically challenged and truly have common sense know already [whether it's called RIGGED or IMPLIED HOUSE ODDS] that the ODDS FAVOR the HOUSE in order for them to MAKE MONEY.
The word WEIGHTING has it own implication as well as the word ALGORITHM and RANDOM. There is nothing RANDOM about a WEIGHTED CALCULATION BASED ON A PREDETERMINED SET OF PARAMETERS.
The algorithm is efficient and speedy BECAUSE OF THE SET PARAMETERS and actually can be updated LIVE as a hands fold or stay in the hand.
Just so I am clear, PREDETERMINED SET PARAMETERS [the algorithm]CAN NOT instigate RANDOMNESS
No magical wand again.
Nobody DISPUTES THE RAKE... The algorithm adds or increases the ODDS that the house will max out on the Rake as much as possible as opposed to not getting a higher % of maxed out rakes. You guys are comical...
Go to your Buds site he references
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TRNG
This adds to your insanity of posting over and over the same thing and
expecting everyone to agree with you. Namely that poker sites that use a
"random" number generator are TRULY random and UNBIASED.
You guys do have a knack for snipping and clipping only what you can
explain in your simplified world.
READ THIS PLEASE ,,,, read it 2x if you are that impaired.
It is right from one of your own kind...
Go to your Buds site. He made the references
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TRNG
Hardware random number generators are often relatively slow, and they may produce a biased sequence (i.e., some values are more common than others). Whether a hardware random number generator is suitable for a particular application depends on the details of both the application and the generator.
Most computer "random number generators" are not hardware devices, but are software routines implementing generator algorithms. They are often supplied as library routines in programming language implementations, or as part of the operating system. These are more properly called pseudo-random number generators, since, being finite state machines, they cannot produce truly random outputs. Within that limitation, some produce sequences which pass one or several statistical pattern tests for randomness, and may be useful in many circumstances. Several common ones are very poor, not only failing to pass many of the relevant statistical tests, but also being readily, even trivially, predictable
The sequences such generators produce always have patterns, in one sense, since the algorithm that generates them has a finite state, and must, eventually, repeat one of those states. Given the original state of the generator, and the implementation of the algorithm, a pseudo-random number generator of this sort is totally predictable. Given even partial knowledge of that state, they are often insecure for many purposes.
-------------end wikipedia reference------------
Hence, a clock is used on poker sites. I know you UN rigged guys think the clocks main use is to speed up the game. Obviously High chipped stallers would prevail if the clock did not exist BUT
Reality, is it is NEEDED so I can't sit here with my own random number generator and calculate better odds on the sequence of cards that most likely will appear.
SWOOOOOOSH... right over your foil hats... sorry.
Put some antennae on your tin hats while you are at it. Maybe you can tune in some realistic viewpoints that make actual sense.
Your data collection method seems like it could be flawed. If I might make a suggestion there is a program available called Poker Tracker that can be used to track and record play in a very detailed manner. If you are interested in doing any data collection to base such an accusation upon I would suggest making sure it is very accurate information such as that collected by running poker tracker.
I would also recommend holding off any accusations till you have gathered several thousand hands. Nobody is going to take it seriously if you collect 200 hand histories and find deviations from the commonly accepted, known statistics.
Oh yeah, there is one last thing. This is the internet, there is no privacy and no anonymity. Don't try to play it like you are something you are not. When you place your own character in question it makes it much more difficult to accept anything else you have to say. Don't try to pretend to be joey high stakes when you are just like the rest of us working shlubs playing some online poker for fun and maybe even some profit.


Show me the algorithm the site uses to weigh the cards when it reads one from the deck. You're convinced that they manipulate the deck, yet you've shown no code to back that up.
First, poker (Holdem, Omaha, Stud, etc.) aren't played against the house, so there's no house edge to the game. The house takes a rake to facilitate the playing of the game, but the house really doesn't care which player wins a pot. Nice strawman, but you're terribly misinformed about how sites and casinos make money in regards to poker.
Again, I ask you where you come to the conclusion that the site weighs the card values when selecting one from the deck. You continue to push this theory, but have no proof of it.
Yeah, I'm a programmer for Full Tilt and thus have access to all their software. Again, since you're the one who thinks things aren't right, it's up to you to prove your point. So, you show us the code, especially since you keep going on and on about weighing values.
If someone were to shuffle the deck during a hand, it wouldn't affect the odds of making your hand. There are still the same number of known and unknown cards to you. Surely you're not arguing that the mere act of shuffling favors one player over another?
As I've stated before, the house has no edge in poker games. They get their rake regardless of who wins the hand. Therefore, your argument is flawed. This doesn't bode well for your claim of being "Most of us who are not mathematically challenged and truly have common sense".
Once again, you start ranting about weighting, but haven't posted a single line of code to substantiate that claim. Short of having a field of dealers working at Full Tilt shuffling decks and keying cards into the software, you're not going to get away from an algorithm.
Also, algorithm doesn't have to be a dirty word.
Nothing about that seems to imply a predictable outcome.
Here's an algorithm to deal a random poker hand:
Step 1: Collect random number from hardware-based truly random generator.
Step 2: Select random card from deck using number collected in step 1.
Step 3: Display selected card to program.
Step 4: Repeat for each card needed.
This would be a dealing algorithm, yet because of the hardware random number generator, it would generate random, unweighted, unpredictable results.
I'm done arguing with you. You have no proof of your theory. You're condescending and insulting. If Perry Friedman and Chris Ferguson posted the actual code here, you'd claim that they showed you a non-rigged code sample to silence you, but still run the "official" rigged code on the servers. No matter how much evidence is presented, you'll stubbornly hold on to your misguided thoughts, so responding to you is an exercise in futility.
I bid you good day and hope that you haven't passed on your flawed genes to offspring.
poker tracker does not work with a Mac. I could set my mac up to be a windows machine and then use poker tracker. However, I want to tap into some information I kept for 6 months when I was unemployed and played 10 hours a day 7 days a week.
On another note, I read through all of this and I liked the statistical calculations on how often a straight flush should appear. I remember having one 2 days in a row once on another site. I have never seen that in real life.
I think that rigged has come to mean too many things. It is a joke word when people loose. It can be a put down. At times it is directed at people trying to get their on line math to match their B&M math.
However, I think what people are trying to express is that on line poker has characteristics in which the appearance of 10 pocket aces in one hour would be considered unusual. Or in real life, if 4 sets of pocket kings were seen before for the button made it around the table, that people would be asking to have the dealer changed. Yet yesterday when I played a free roll, I changed tables twice before the button completed a full round and on both tables saw pocket kings twice. So that for 2 tables and the first 18 hands there were 4 pocket kings. Like I said, in real life we would ask to have the dealers changed.
Then again, while playing a live cash game, there were 4 sets of quads, 2 of them were tens, one was queens and I had the eights. And the night before that, one guy had 4 quads during an evening of play. Each time with different dealers. And the quad eights I had are the second time I have had quad eights in the last two years. So when I see things like that in real life, I don't expect to see more than 4 quads when playing on line during a six hour session. But I have. I am looking for that information, but it is on another computer as text files. Again, does any one know of a fast way to get hand histories off a mac full tilt interface and into an excel spread sheet?
Look at things logically...
On a $1.00/$2.00 ring game, makes approximately $1.50 on average per hand... a hand takes approximately 3 minutes to complete on here, that is 480 hand per day on one table, which means an average rake of around $720 per table at this level every day.
has roughly about 30 tables at this level going all day every day, which means at this stake alone are making $21,600 per day on average.
Why would want to risk all that just to rig the software just for a few extra $$ in the pockets per day.
Also, another thing you should think about is, why would allow tracking software such as Office and Tracker to be used on there room if it was rigged, because with these types of software you can instantly see if things arn't right.
James
hey guys listen to THIS:
true story... one time i got pocket aces 2 times in a row. i went all in and
BOTH TIMES and no one called. this site is obviously rigged. i want my 500 in playmoney back NOW!!! if THATS not proof enough that this site is rigged...
im pretty much certain all the other players at my tables are robots with access to my hole cards.
what i really think needs to be called into question here is the random generator of avatars and screen names. statistically speaking, i see the same avatar in almost 73.6% of games. now whats the statistical probability of over 70% of people thinking the same avatar is the coolest... ya right full tilt. obviously robots.
another lil statistical tid bit: almost FORTY PERCENT of the screen names on this site have a poker related term in them (ie all-inbob, poketrocketricky, suzydeucy). cmon full tilt... if your gonna make robots with random generated screen names. out of all the words in the english dictionary, the statistical probability of this many SNs being poker related is virtually impossible. i think you should fire all your programmers and hire new ones with bigger vocabularies. itll make the games more realistic
if thats not proof that full tilt poker is rigged, i dunno what is.
that is all.
Full Tilt Poker is licensed by the Kahnawake Gaming Commission.
© Copyright 2004 - 2007 FullTiltPoker.com. All Rights Reserved
That's at the bottom of the front page on the home site. Here is the homepage to the commission's website: http://www.kahnawake.com/gamingcommission/
EDIT: Wanted to add one other thing for the conspiracy theorists participating in this thread...
(only skimmed through this thread, so this point may have already been brought up)
Have you guys ever considered that too many reputations were on the line to rig Full Tilt? Just think about it; Full Tilt Poker is represented by 52 professional poker players, some of whom have endorsement deals outside of Full Tilt. Those players make A LOT of money from endorsements, too much to risk rigging the online site that has their face all over it.
Another point is that, if the pros really did want to rig FTP, they would not only have to share the dirty money amongst the technicians, support, and any other general staff, but they'd also have to share the profits between themselves -FIFTY TWO additional people. Rigging the site wouldn't generate nearly enough revenue to outweigh the risks (tarnished reputations, lost friendships, loss of outside endorsement deals). Make any sense?
Citizen Cain said
FT's RNG and shuffling algorithm are already tested and certified to be random by an independent agency, actually.
... so is Poker Stars, Paradise Poker, Pacific Poker, Ultimate Bet and EVERY other online poker site. NOT questioning randomness... questioning VARIANCE. Take the test as I have described in my post ... you will see what I mean for yourself.
I kept stats for about 6 months on underdog river wins. Then I got a job and did not have the time. So that it was not all about me, I just tracked other people a majority of the time. There were patterns. I think one of the things in quantum physics is the closer you get to the particle, the further away it is. So randomness also comes in patterns. Flowers and snowflakes are the most obvious examples. The most common pattern was when there was an all in on the flop between 2 players, the underdog would win by the river about 80% of the time. Again, I was documenting other players. I would take screen shots of the hand history because there are not any good poker trackers for Macs that I know of while I was doing this. I played morning to night for 6 months. I play the software as much as the players because of other patterns as well. I donʻt care if they fix it or not. I am just saying that I paid attention and noticed some patterns.
For a full discussion of this point see Why People Believe Weird Things by Shermer. I know, I know, it is a psychology book, not a poker book. But if you want to fully appreciate why people see patterns when there aren't any you'll have to read outside of poker.
I have no clue how you could use only a small subset of possible board combinations unless the software doesn't properly seed the RNG. Is this what you are suggesting?
Except for improper seeding the state of the art in random number generation will not produce patterns any human will be able to detect without extensive statistical analysis. Using nanoseconds from the computer clock when the call for a card is made is about as close to truely random as you could care to get.
True.
Buddy go wikipedia yourself and look up while you are at it what exactly an algorithm isTHEN REPORT YOUR disorganized [Rantings] uhh I mean FINDINGS here.
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Go Read your OWN reference IABoomer and put yourself to beddy bye
because I posted it above for you but it appears you are too LAZY
to read YOUR OWN SOURCE and expect all to BELIEVE your OPINION.
The sequences such generators produce always have patterns, in one sense, since the algorithm that generates them has a finite state, and must, eventually, repeat one of those states. Given the original state of the generator, and the implementation of the algorithm, a pseudo-random number generator of this sort is totally predictable. Given even partial knowledge of that state, they are often insecure for many purposes.
I DO NOT have to have the FT code to point out its FLAWS.
I don't need it. You represent a code you have no earthly concept of.
You reference Wikipedia and RTNG. The Info I explained came from my knowledge which ALIGNS EXACTLY with YOUR WIKIPEDIA REFERENCE.
Can you grasp that? You PROVE MY POINT nicely. It came directly from YOUR SOURCE. which states well that the algorithm has FLAWS. FT attempts like any site to minimize and mask the flaws within the LIMITS OF THE SOFTWARE.
The limits of the software are BASED ON A PREDETERMINED SET of PARAMETERS therefore it does have a BIAS .
Sorry, perhaps swimming lessons for you may help since you are in over your head and treading water and YOUR OWN REFERENCE PROVES IT.
You have bored me with your non-sense since the beginning.
You represent the FT code as if it is an empirical infallible situation yet
provide your own evidence that the software IS FLAWED.
Thank You for amplifying my POINT with YOUR WIKIPEDIA REFERENCE that a predetermined fixed set of parameters cannot produce true RANDOMNESS. You Whine and cry now "you are through arguing" [aka.. I exposed I am an idiot] and take your ball and go home, uh I mean to bed. Thats funny....
Stop sucking so much dick you're choking on it. They do need to re-evaluate their software, and fix it. I'm not a great poker player and I'll be the first to admit that I chase some bad hands. What I don't get, is that you can't tell me that there isn't a flaw in the software when time after time the low percentage hand wins on river.(especially if its big stack vs. small stack) I been playing here for quite awhile and I see it all the time. Can you admit that there is a possibility that there may be a problem. Observe a little bit and open your eyes. I'm taken a break from full tilt, and I'll play brick and mortar, where if I get beat , I know it's because of the cards not the software.
I just read almost every post. I am not sure why. I guess I was bored. This whole argument is silly. The "logic" of the rigged theorists can be summed up as follows:
"The site is rigged because I have seen BLAH BLAH BLAH BLAH"
"Anyone who is a forum pro is automatically wrong"
"The site would clearly make mroe money by rigging the deals even though I cannot show why this would be the case."
"I do not wish to give proof of my theory with actual numbers and statistics because the forum pros would not believe me anyway. The proof exists, but I just do not feel like posting it here, instead I will cry and whine about the fact that the forum pros do not believe me."
"I don't really understand mathematics, I really do not understand statistical sampling methods, and I have a vague understand of how a random number generator works, but I will talk as if I am an expert on all of them. I will do this in lieu of providing actual proof of anything I say."
And now soem of my own words: I was bored while playing, so I took my ten sided die and rolled it 100 times and recorded the result. The likelihood of hitting a gutshot straight draw on one card is approximately 1/10. Theo dds of any one number hitting on the ten sided die are exactly 1/10. Well, what do you know? In my 100 roll sample, one number hit 19 times and one number hit only TWICE.
According to the rigged theorists out there, my die MUST BE RIGGED. Does this make sense to any of you? If not, then why don't you realize your own argument makes no sense? There are amthematically PROVEN ways to analyze samples fo statistical data and to prove beyone a reasonable doubt whether hands are rigged or not. That being the case, if you are so sure of your point, why do not you not PROVE IT ALREADY? What is holding you back?
Another point to be made: If two people start a hand with a pocket pair, the odds are 1/100 that they both flop a set. The odds arethen 1/45 that the lower set turns quads. The odds are 1/44 that the higher set then re-rivers higher quads. This means that such a hand will happen one time out of 200,000 when two players start a hand with a pocket pair. THINK ABOUT THAT! given the milions of hands that are dealt daily, thism eans that numerous times EACH DAY, that scenario happens! And, I bet Many of those people who were in the hand, or the 6-8 times as many people who SAW the hand, will go on to talk about how poker is rigged, and use that hand as an example.
mcai, check out Mac Poker Pro
I've seen lots of weird stuff playing here, but the problem in stating that is that people always remember the unreal hands, and not the run-of-the-mill hands that happen all the time.
It's the bad beats and 1-2 outters that will stick out to people, nothing else. So to anyone starting out with the idea that the site is rigged, any very very lucky hand will appear to be FT's software being jacked.
Those charts that are on the 2nd page from the poker db, how do you get those? I have an account and the only thing I can see is the tournaments they've cashed in, which doesn't tell you much because you don't know how many they've played.
you are writing all these hands down? i would think a person of your 15 years experience and superior bankroll could afford pokertracker or some other software of this kind. anyway if you dont like FT go play stars or party.
I HAVE BEEN SAYING THE SAME SINCE I QUIT PUTING MONEY IN HERE AND I HAVE A SIMILAR REALLY RIDICULOUS BAD BEAT STORT THANKS TO THE FTP SOFTWARE
I FLOPPED QUADS AND OF COURSE CHECKED THEM, GUY BETS I CALL, TURN COMES GUY BETS I DOUBLE HIS RAISE, HE RE-RAISES ME ALL IN, I GIVE YOU 1 GUESS WHAT THE RIVER WAS, YUP THE CASE CARD HE NEEDED FOR HIS QUADS THAT BEAT MINE..I HAVE BLOGGED MANY TIMES ABOUT THE FAMOUS FTP CASE RIVERS(COMMON)
WHAT IS WITH SO MANY QUADS HERE NOT TO MENTION STRAIGHT FLUSHES? JUST SAW ANOTHER LAST HAND, AND AT ONE TABLE A FEW MONTHS AGO i FLOPPED QUADS FOLLOWED BY QUADS SKIP A REG HAND FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER FLOPPED QUADS...THATS NOT REALISTIC, I DON'T CARE THAT THERE ARE SO MANY HANDS BEING DEALT ON THE SITE, I'M ONLY IN MY TABLES NOT ALL THE TABLES AT FTP AND STILL THE HUGE HANDS AND BAD BEATS KEEP COMING
I think its normal human nature that we remember exactly in detail the bad beats and river cards bringing victory to the underdog...even when observing other players play we remember the absurd beats against the favorite hands, not the monster hands that easily won.
So really all you did when you sat down to look at all these hands was say 'I am going to prove this site is rigged because I lost'. By saying that your brain automatically helped you focus on only seeing bad beats and suck outs at tables you observed. Your attention blurred over regular poker wins and skillfull plays and only focused on watching that river card drop and only when it dropped and suckout out a better hand.
I don't care if you play for millions or pennies on this site it doesn't make a difference. You took bad beats, this got to you and influenced the way you collected data for your 'results'. You went into your 'study' thinking the site was rigged so therefore your more likely to adapt and skew your conclusions to support your hunch...
In research its called researcher bias. Its many times unavoidable.
So what? You've won tens of thousands of dollars on here? Great, good for you. You've been winning and winning, then go on a bad streak and blame the software? What happened? Has full tilt changed their software in the last couple weeks? Or do they do this just to piss people off? Make them win and win, then when their confidence is high, Make them lose all of their money. THat must be it.. the people at Full tilt are just pricks, thats all...yeah right. If so many suckouts happen on here, why isn't everyone making money? How come 90% of the time I've called an all-in with the worst hand, havent I won?
Oh by the way, there is already a topic for this:
Have a nice day!!
MCAI
MAC POKER PRO works on FULL TILT
i once went to a fight and a hockey game broke out.
i once went to a pizza place and the greasy guys face broke out.
i once went to a freeroll and a serious game broke out. (only for a few hands tho, then the shoving came)
I have to say, at least you have the courage of your convictions to play garbage and attempt to win with it since you think that's the way the software works. I still think you're wrong, but at least you're above the other "rigged" posters who claim to have it figured out, but refuse to adapt and prove it.
If counting hands is a pain, consider installing a tracking program like Pokertracker, Pokeroffice, or Holdem Manager (which while in Beta is freely available with no hand quantity restrictions). Collect all of your hands and see if things really are working the way you think they are. You may be surprised to see that, like most people, big pairs are big winners and unconnected garbage is a big loser.
The poker sites are big buisiness, and they have don't need to rigg the rng to make big money. It would be stupid for them to even try. That's what I've always told myself, but with all the set over set flops, i'm begginng to question that theory. They say that the rng can never be truly random, maybe they chose a flaw that leans in the their favor that would create action. I would realy like to see some good statistical analysist of the rng.
Ok I have something to add on every all in I have seen in only the past week playing here this has happened with no exeption to the rule --->All In player A has AA Player B has (10-J or any two high cards) Flop comes A,K or A,Q now they both go all in. Now this is what i have seen ten times in a row ya go figure the striaght always came ??? Thats just my observation since playing here keep a eye on it you will see and lemme know i need feed back on this its really been bugging me i have used it to my advantage and i am questioning the software algorthym just my 2 bits.
I think you can create a chart in software like Pokertracker or Pokeroffice, then upload that to share with people, if you're so inclined. But I don't believe there's an automated data-collecting system out there like Sharkscope or PokerDB.
Let me sum up your post for you:
"I don't know what I'm talking about but I'll say that I do so more people listen to me. The truth is that poker is rigged. I will not state any proof for this, but I will assure you that anyone who disagrees is a child and is wrong.
Also, since I don't know what I am talking about, I won't be returning to respond to any replies. This will only assure intelligent people that I am correct."
And now just for fun, here's a quote from PokerStars' web page (I couldn't find a similar page on Full Tilt's site but I believe that they probably use a similar process):
I wouldn't be surprised if this quote has been posted before in this thread. But since you claimed you didn't read anything but the first page, I also won't read anything but the first page.
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Thank you for again proving the point and flailing your ARMS and LEGS
Shouting down and repeating the same thing over and over does not make you RIGHT .
Again another bite of food for you to chew on >>>
So-called TRUE random events have a chain of effect too long and complex to follow or reproduce. This would not be practical on a poker site. ASK CHRIS FERGUSON. TRUE RANDOMNESS WOULD TAKE TOOOOOO LONG.
The rate at which true random numbers can be generated is limited [flawed] ... hence a clock.
Let me know when you find those WMD's .... Ok?
Nope you made it clear that you were posting song lyrics in the midst of a topic about poker software flaws and rigging and were 'miffed' that my response is not in reply to YOUR song lyrics.
You're the "PRO" here. I am just what all pro's here think a non-pro is.... underlings.... Why not follow a forum standard and stay on the topic or start a FT favorite Lyric thread?
I am sure another Pro here will take up and continue the TRNG not flawed here at FT flag. What would be a true random number generated is ONE FT pro to show some UNpredictability or random different opinion. Not gonna happen.
geo, there are programs that can crack a RNG, but the poker sites now also employ a constant shuffler. that means that you not only have to correctly predict the next card, but time it perfectly as well.
This is a ridiculously inaccurate statement. There are plenty of people who have tens of thousands of hands logged into Poker Tracker or other databases. There are even people with hundreds of thousands of hands logged. Guess what? The percentages hold up. The site's not rigged.
Don't believe me? There have been threads on the topic, go search for them. There was at least one that I remember on this forum and probably innumerable ones on the 2+2 forums (although discussing more than just Full Tilt).
you can download the poker tracker software. it costs money, but a lot of players vouch for it. i may not agree with your theory, but at least you're planning to take the time to check it out.
i am replying to this post because i agree totally with the poster....regardless of his calculatioons...i have been in many of hands where i was the favorite by 5 to 1 at times and have lost more than my fair share...every hand has a flush on here....reality poker doesn't happen like online poker....the worst hand does win more than 60% of the time ......big pots usually go to bigger stacks believe it or not...i have been in both situations so i know the way it goes.....i have flopped nut flushes and straights more than 20-30 times and have lost about 15 of those times to runner runner full house or runner runner straight flush....it does not happen that way in rality as much as online...regardless of what you forum pro's think.....you call us crybaby's??? be a victim of as many bad beats as me and maybe you'll start thinking the same...
Most of us have some sort of complaint about Full Tilt. Wether it is not having resizeable screens, no rebuys, etc. And that is why we have a feature requests/feedback section. You also have an opinion about FTP, but as all rigged theorists, have no solid proof for it. You cant have solid proof to back up a rigged claim because online poker isnt rigged. Simple as that.
I find it humerous that you fish on here tried your best to more try and question who I am then read what i had to say.
All the replies were about trying to make me look bad as a player like copying charts of my results and I am just another wannabe?
I am extremely successful in cash games, NOT tournaments...I don't claim to be a big time tournament player, i dont have the patience for tournaments but when i am playing cash games, i do play sit n go's and an occasional tournament but I know for a fact, the tracker on players results are as well skewed.
I had a player make a simliar attack on me out of jealousy trying to say i never win sit n go's and that day, he made that accusation, i had won two 100 sit n go' the previous day so i know these tracking softwares online are not accurate at all so using these tracking software's to track what i had to say would be a waste as well.
my results were over thousands of hands, not just a hundred or so.
it was NOT meant in frustation of me losing 4,000.....hell i have had days in the 150/300 mix game at bellagio, i have lost that in a few hours.
I am talking about this conclusion i came to over thousands of hands over a two week period...that is not variance, that is an honest representation of hands.
last time i checked, this forum is an area for GOOD and BAD opinions, not just favoreable opinions that will make the site look good.
as a customer where there is money involved, we have a right to question anything IF we feel something might not be wrong.
as i said i was hoping to get really successful players give me their opinion to either invalidate what i had to say or to add some opinion to my data...
but as usual, i got nothing but fish's and donks who are small players OR railbirds like the forum pro's who sit here all day long and respond to posts CAUSE THEY ARE NEVER IN GAMES MAKING MONEY.
so i guess my post was a waste, i am too addicted to online poker so i will just deal with these extremely skewed outcomes and see how it goes and work through it.
Dont you folks have anything better to do??????
This is why i have little respect for you forum JUNKIES ,PROs, what ever you want to call yourselves, the fact is Most of you HAVE NO OTHER LIFE, so you sit on these forums and bash people!!!!
AND THIS MAKES YOU AN AUTHORITY ON ?????? you constantly refer to your stat tracking software as gospil!
Then you continually take these forum discussions to an altogether different direction posting 10s of times on each topic regardless of the intent of the topic!
AND THIS IS WHY YOU HAVE THE STATUS YOU HAVE???
what a joke!!!
I agree with IABoomer...
I had plenty of suck outs on the river since playing here and you know what? Some players make bad donk calls, some players don't understand hand representing and some players just push all in with anything.
BUT like IABoomer says its partly our own faults for letting these suckouts occur. Most of the time pushing a large amount of your chip stack in on the flop or the turn will cause the other player to pause , look at the board and many times fold. Your ahead but you know theres a risk of a suck out then push your chips and take the pot down so that risk doesn't happen.
Granted I've had times where I've done this and STILL had the person call and be behind a lot only to win on the river; one player who did this said 'that's why they call it gambling boys'. Hes an idiot but he represents a good chunk of players who believe that poker is like most card games...luck.
Anyways enough of my rambling, IABoomer is saying that most of the time your aggressive bet while your in the lead will push weaker hands to fold before they have a chance to catch.
We get, maybe, 4 or 5 of these kinds of posts a week. Other forums on other sites also get these kinds of posts on a regular basis. So you can see why you're not getting any sympathy.
Online poker is not rigged. Sorry.
Yes there's a difference between a human shuffle and an online shuffle. The human shuffle will be less random than the online shuffle.
It's okay. Take as much time as you need to re-read that until it makes sense.
Considering cards can stick together, people won't shuffle as many times as a computer, etc., you'll find that online shuffles are more random than human.
Things only seem odd because your mind is programmed to look for patterns. It's not programmed to see all the times that you bet AA, everyone folded, and you won the pot.
Ok, you lost $4,000. At what stakes were you playing when you lost this? Consider the loss in terms of Big Bets, not dollars, as that will help equalize the results.
Also, why is it when you win, you're an excellent player and you play at the highest stakes, etc., but when you lose, the site is rigged to make the underdog win?
Finally, if you've really played for 15 years, you should have an understanding of variance, swings, and the extremes to which these things can happen.